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Lease vs Buy Calculator (car, total cost over hold period)

Enter the price, down payment, and how long you'll keep the car. Plug in lease terms (monthly + length) and finance terms (APR + loan length + expected resale value). The calculator computes total cost of each option over your hold period โ€” including remaining loan balance and resale recovery for the buy side.

Vehicle and hold period
Lease
Buy / finance

Total lease cost

Cheaper
$16,200
$450/mo ร— 36 months

Net buy cost

$20,403
Loan payment: $594/mo

How buy total is calculated

Cash out (down + payments during hold)
$26,385
Remaining loan balance at end of hold
$13,268
Resale value recovered
โˆ’$19,250
Difference
Leasing saves $4,203

How it works

Why hold period dominates the answer

Lease economics are roughly flat with time โ€” you pay the same rate per month indefinitely. Buying is back-loaded value: the first year you lose 15-20% to depreciation, but if you keep the car 6-10 years, the per-year cost drops dramatically as the loan finishes and depreciation slows. The break-even is typically around 4-5 years.

When leasing makes sense

Leasing is the cheaper option when you genuinely turn cars over every 2-3 years, want a newer model with full warranty coverage, or run a business that can write off the lease as an operating expense. The certainty of fixed monthly costs (no surprise repairs) has real value if you hate negotiating used-car sales.

Hidden costs of leasing

Mileage caps (typically 10-15k/year) trigger per-mile charges over the limit ($0.15-0.30/mile). Wear-and-tear charges at lease end can run hundreds to thousands. Most leases require gap insurance and full coverage. Early termination is usually expensive. Build a buffer of 5-10% over the headline lease cost.

Frequently asked questions

โ€บWhat's the simplest rule?

Plan to keep <3 years and care more about a new car than money saved? Lease. Plan to keep 5+ years? Buy. The 3-5 year window is where this calculator earns its keep โ€” run the numbers.

โ€บHow accurate is the resale value estimate?

55% of price after 3-5 years is typical for mainstream cars. Trucks and Toyota/Honda hold 60-70%. Luxury sedans and EVs often drop to 40%. Check Kelley Blue Book or Edmunds for your specific model and year โ€” small percentage points swing the answer significantly.

โ€บWhy does the calculator favor buying for long holds?

Once the loan is paid off, monthly cash flow drops to $0 (just maintenance and insurance). Leasing payments continue indefinitely. After year 6-7 of ownership, every additional year is essentially 'free' minus the slow depreciation.

โ€บShould I include maintenance and insurance?

Maintenance differs: leases typically cover scheduled service in years 1-3 of warranty, buying means you pay or extend warranty. Insurance is usually similar but leases require full coverage with low deductibles. For ballpark math, both add roughly equal cost on either side.

โ€บWhat about the 'opportunity cost' of the down payment?

If you'd otherwise invest the down payment, that's a real cost on the buy side. At 7% market return over 5 years, a $5,000 down payment 'costs' about $2,000 in foregone returns. The calculator doesn't model this โ€” adjust your decision if it matters.

โ€บDoes this work for business car decisions?

Partially. Tax treatment differs โ€” leases are usually fully deductible as operating expense, buying allows depreciation deduction (Section 179 in US can accelerate this). Consult a tax pro; the answer can flip for business buyers.

โ€บWhat about EV-specific factors?

EVs depreciate faster than ICE cars in many markets due to battery degradation fears and tech obsolescence. A 3-year-old EV often resells at 35-45% of MSRP vs 55-65% for an equivalent ICE. This pushes EVs toward leasing in many cases.

โ€บShould I just buy used and skip both?

Often the right answer mathematically. A 2-3 year old car has absorbed the steepest depreciation curve. If you finance a used car at a reasonable rate and keep it 5+ years, you'll usually beat both new-car options by a wide margin.

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